Results tagged ‘ Nolan Arenado ’
Coming Attraction: Nolan Arenado, Colorado Rockies, Third Baseman
Nolan Arenado was drafted out of a California high school in the 2nd round of the 2009 MLB Draft by the Colorado Rockies. Arenado played some catcher in high school, but he was drafted as an infielder, which seems to be a good choice by the Rockies, considering their top prospect’s quick ascension through the minors.
To see how productive Arenado has been, you need to look no further than his career minor league statistics:
| Year | Age | Tm | Lg | Lev | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | SB | BB | SO | TB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 18 | Casper | PION | Rk | 54 | 225 | 203 | 28 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 16 | 18 | .300 | .351 | .404 | .755 | 82 |
| 2010 | 19 | Asheville | SALL | A | 92 | 400 | 373 | 45 | 115 | 41 | 1 | 12 | 65 | 1 | 19 | 52 | .308 | .338 | .520 | .858 | 194 |
| 2011 | 20 | Modesto | CALL | A+ | 134 | 583 | 517 | 82 | 154 | 32 | 3 | 20 | 122 | 2 | 47 | 53 | .298 | .349 | .487 | .836 | 252 |
| 2012 | 21 | Tulsa | TL | AA | 134 | 573 | 516 | 55 | 147 | 36 | 1 | 12 | 56 | 0 | 39 | 58 | .285 | .337 | .428 | .766 | 221 |
| 2013 | 22 | Colorado Springs | PCL | AAA | 12 | 51 | 44 | 12 | 20 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 5 | .455 | .480 | .909 | 1.389 | 40 |
| 5 Seasons | 426 | 1832 | 1653 | 222 | 497 | 135 | 5 | 49 | 283 | 8 | 125 | 186 | .301 | .347 | .477 | .824 | 789 | ||||
Statistical Areas of Focus:
Arenado showed very good plate discipline as an 18-year-old in short-season ball, which didn’t hold in his first full season; however, while he didn’t take as many pitches in Asheville in 2010, he didn’t strikeout at an alarming rate and his gap power (41 doubles) was a nice preview for his 2011 breakout season. In 2011, Arenado’s statistics were aided by the bandbox stadiums of the California League, but he maintained a tremendous contact rate, while showing similar gap power (32 doubles) with a slight increase in home runs. His 122 RBI in 2011 are impressive on paper, but they don’t represent a number that can translate to the majors as a “normal” counting statistic. In 2012, Arenado was, in a way, a disappointment. He maintained his contact rates but his power dropped off. He seemed to miss the thin air of California in the Texas League in 2012, but his 36 doubles still showed a solid approach, and at the age of 21, Arenado still possessed some projection.
Arenado has 11 doubles and three home runs in just 44 total at-bats, which leads to an impressive .909 slugging percentage in the early going. Arenado’s statistics will likely take another leap forward in 2013 due to the thin air of the Pacific Coast League, particularly in Colorado Springs, the Rockies Triple-A affiliate. Arenado’s 18 RBI lead the minors right now, and it wouldn’t be crazy to think that he could become a huge producer in a very impressive lineup in Denver, as Dexter Fowler, Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez, and Wilin Rosario create a tremendously dangerous lineup.
Why the Rockies Need Arenado:
I’d be lying if I said that the Rockies GOTTA HAVE Arenado right now. Colorado’s third basemen (Chris Nelson and Reid Brignac) are hitting a combined .309/.361/.345 with two doubles, five RBI, and six runs scored, while posting an 11:5 K:BB over 55 at-bats. The only issue is that Nelson and Brignac have just the two extra-base hits, which is why the slugging percentage is so low. While that is one reason to clamor for Arenado’s immediate call-up, especially with his current production in Colorado Springs, the Rockies can allow their current third basemen to get on base at a solid clip, allowing their mashers to clear the bases later. Arenado would be a huge offensive upgrade to the Rockies lineup, though, so there is no shame in utilizing Nelson and/or Brignac in utility roles, as both players could get at bats at second base, spelling Josh Rutledge on occasion, as he is hitting just .226/.288/.358 in 53 at-bats for Colorado.
When to Expect Arenado’s Arrival:
While it would be great to allow Arenado to get more experience in Triple-A, where veteran starters could possess better breaking balls than his lower-level opposition, Arenado could force the Rockies’ hand in the coming weeks. Chris Nelson, who has handled the majority of starts at third, was tremendous in the second half last season, posting a .344/.381/.500 line over 180 at-bats, but he doesn’t possess the power and skill-set that Arenado does. Nelson would still have a major role as a super-utility player, but Arenado could get the call to Coor’s Field by mid-June, and have an immediate impact on a suddenly strong Rockies team. They just need some health, especially with Tulowitzki, to be taken seriously.
Arizona Fall League Stars
The Arizona Fall League is a “Winter League” because it takes place in between the end of the Minor League season and the start of Spring Training. While it’s name is confusing compared to when it actually occurs, it is a very important prospect league, where teams send their best and brightest to compete against those of other teams. When players do well there, their prospect status soars and they rise in prospect rankings across the internet. These are the guys doing a great job in the AFL, as well as a little about what they did in the Minors this year and what to expect from them.
Robbie Grossman, OF, Pirates
AFL: .385/.486/.637, 35 H, 5 2B, 6 HR, 20 RBI, 15/19 K/BB, 5 SB
2011: .294/.418/.451, 127 R, 144 H, 34 2B, 2 3B, 13 HR, 56 RBI, 111/104 K/BB, 24 SB
Grossman is the epitome of a leadoff hitter. He just turned 22 in September and he thrived in High-A in 2011, though he was repeating. He has a solid eye and runs well, he is a switch hitter, and he is on a team that is going to continue building from within. He’ll be in Double-A to start 2012. If he does a good job, like he is right now, he’ll get promoted quickly. With little in his way with Ryan Doumit’s option being declined and Ryan Ludwick hitting Free Agency, he could carve out a future role with the team…so long as he beats Josh Bell and Starling Marte to Pittsburgh.
Bryce Harper, OF, Nationals
AFL: .290/.357/.613, 3 2B, 1 3B, 5 HR, 20 RBI, 12/7 K/BB, 3 SB
2011: .297/.392/.501, 24 2B, 2 3B, 17 HR, 58 RBI, 87/59 K/BB, 26 SB
Harper just turned 19 on October 16th and he spent time in Double-A this season. He is now thriving in a league that is designed for “close” talent, which goes to show just how special this kid is. His raw power is and has been legit. His athleticism will make him a 5-tool talent. His advanced approach will allow him to become an absolute monster. We all know his name and what he can do, this is just a reminder of his age and production.
Jedd Gyorko, 3B, Padres
AFL: .415/.500/.717, 4 2B, 4 HR, 17 RBI, 9/9 K/BB
2011: .333/.400/.552, 47 2B, 25 HR, 114 RBI, 114/64 K/BB, 12 SB
Gyorko had an outstanding season that was split between High-A and Double-A, and he picked up right where he left off. Gyorko’s size (5’10″, 195) makes him a candidate to move to second with James Darnell and Chase Headley ahead of him in San Diego, though he’ll have to hold offCory Spangenberg if he is moved to second.
Nolan Arenado, 3B, Rockies
AFL: .383/.400/.667, 8 2B, 5 HR, 27 RBI, 8/3 K/BB
2011: .298/.349/.487, 32 2B, 3 3B, 20 HR, 122 RBI, 53/47 K/BB in 517 AB
Arenado will be 21 on April 16th next year and he’ll probably be heading to Double-A. He is the next heir to third for the Rockies, having seen Garrett Atkins and Ian Stewart fail miserably in recent seasons. Arenado has struck out just 123 times in 1,093 Minor League at bats, showing that he plans on putting the ball in play, and he has done a fine job of that thus far. When he gets to the Majors, he could develop into an absolute superstar, creating as formidable a left side of the infield as anyone has ever seen…offensively.
Junior Lake, SS, Cubs
AFL: .298/.352/.583, 5 2B, 2 3B, 5 HR, 15 RBI, 23/5 K/BB, 15 SB
2011: .279/.316/.434, 21 2B, 6 3B, 12 HR, 51 RBI, 109/19 K/BB, 38 SB
Tough organization to be a shortstop in, but Lake could become a viable prospect due to his speed and pop. The only thing holding him back is his inability to make contact or take a walk. Lake’s 109/19 K/BB is not attractive, but he is playing well over his head with the talent in the AFL. The fact that he has 12 extra-base hits and 15 stolen bases in 84 at bats shows that he can be dangerous. It’ll be interesting to see if he becomes trade bait or gets moved to second or center.
Brad Boxberger, RHP, Reds
AFL: 10 1/3 IP, 9 H, 4 ER, 18/4 K/BB, 3.48 ERA
2011: 62 IP, 32 H, 14 ER, 93/28 K/BB, 2.03 ERA
Francisco Cordero’s 2012 option was declined. Aroldis Chapman is being stretched out to be a starter. Nick Masset’s K/9 decreased, his H/9 increased, and his WHIP soared, making him a less reliable long-term option at closer. Boxberger instantly has the young (23) and cheap (league minimum?) thing going, which will allow the Reds to spend elsewhere, while building around Phillips, Votto, and Bruce. He is a bullpen arm to watch this Spring and now.
Miguel De Los Santos, LHP, Rangers
AFL: 17 IP, 10 H, 6 ER, 23/10 K/BB, 3.18 ERA
2011: 94 2/3 IP, 77 H, 53 ER, 142/46 K/BB, 5.04 ERA
Sure, the ERA was ugly this year, but De Los Santos dealt with some shoulder issues prior to getting extra work in the AFL this year. His K/BB shows he has dominant stuff and the last two years, he has dominated. His 254/90 K/BB over 165 IP the last two seasons is nasty proof of that. If he cuts down on the walks, he and Martin Perez will allow the Rangers to forget about C.J. Wilson if he leaves via Free Agency.







