Results tagged ‘ Asdrubal Cabrera ’

The Cold Stove: Waiting for the 2015 Free Agent Class

 

Seattle Mariners' 2B: Robinson Cano

Seattle Mariners’ 2B: Robinson Cano

Robinson Cano, Jacoby Ellsbury, Brian McCann, Shin-Soo Choo, and Carlos Beltran all signed big deals within a matter of weeks, and then…baseball fans were left wondering what happened to the stove, and while a watched pot never boils, the wait for the next big signing seems to be longer than the Cubs World Series drought…ZING!

The 2014 free agent class certainly had some impressive names on the list, and after Clayton Kershaw signed his seven-year, $215 million extension on Thursday, the list of 2015 upcoming free agents took a major hit. Teams have a lot of money due to the incoming television mega-deals that Major League Baseball has signed, and that revenue is allowing clubs to lock up many of their homegrown players prior to reaching free agency. With so few superstars actually reaching free agency, it appears that those who do are going to cash in with some lucrative deals, even if they aren’t necessarily worthy such an investment.

Masahiro Tanaka

Masahiro Tanaka

Teams seem quite hesitant to lock up the likes of Matt Garza, Ubaldo Jimenez, and Ervin Santana, and while Garza doesn’t require draft-pick compensation like Jimenez and Santana, can you blame teams for not wanting to give out a five-year, $80 to $100 million deal to those types of pitchers? The pitching market will likely be set and begin to move after Masahiro Tanaka signs, which will require a team to give $20 million in a posting fee on top of a $100 million deal for a player who has never thrown a pitch at the Major League level. It seems terrifying from these poor, baseball blogger’s eyes to see teams shelling out this kind of money to:

  • Masahiro Tanaka: Tanaka has gone 53-9 with a 1.44 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over 611.1 innings over the last three seasons in Japan – while tossing 30 complete games and averaging eight innings per start over 76 starts. The wear and tear on his arm rivals that of Daisuke Matsuzaka, yet he’ll be the top free agent and teams are clamoring to invest heavily in him. It’s as if teams forgot that Matsuzaka’s shoulder and elbow looked like road kill after 61 starts in Boston – and his career was a train wreck. Is Tanaka worth nine figures?
  • Ubaldo Jimenez: Jimenez was 20-25 in his first 61 starts in Cleveland, posting a 5.10 ERA and 1.55 WHIP over 340.2 innings…and then the second half of 2013 happened, and Jimenez was 6-5 with a 1.82 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over 13 starts and 84 innings and he is suddenly an ace! Sure, Indians’ pitching coach Mickey Callaway helped Jimenez with his balance and delivery, but did he make him into the same pitcher who went 15-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in the first half of 2010, or will Jimenez return to the mess that he was in his first 61 starts in Cleveland? Is Jimenez worth $75 to $90 million?
  • Ervin Santana: Santana was a salary dump last winter, as the Los Angeles Angels sent him to the Kansas City Royals with $1 million (the Royals paid the remaining $12 million of his contract) after Santana posted a horrific 5.16 ERA, 74 ERA+, 1.27 WHIP and 9-13 record over 30 starts and 178 innings in 2012. Then, Santana went 9-10 with a 3.24 ERA, 127 ERA+, and 1.14 WHIP over 211 innings and 32 starts, and he is the second coming of Christ…or is he? If Santana was the top state-side arm on the market, wouldn’t he be worthy of an offer? Maybe clubs are being cautious of Santana, who has had three full seasons with ERAs over 5.00 and ERA+ under 90, while tossing in five seasons with an ERA under 4.30 and an ERA+ of 106 or more, and they aren’t too keen on the idea of giving $100 million (which Santana was said to be seeking) for such dramatic, roller coaster production. Salary relief or not, Santana was acquired for Brandon Sisk, who missed all of 2013 due to Tommy John surgery, a 28-year-old relief prospect. Is he worth this type of commitment?
Courtesy: twinsdaily.com

Courtesy: twinsdaily.com

Perhaps the slow movement of the pitching market is because of how ugly it actually is once you look at the numbers, while teams could be looking ahead to the 2015 free agency class. Even without Kershaw, there appears to be much better options available, and with so many pitchers with options, could teams be hoping to cash in on acquiring strong pitchers coming off of down seasons who won’t necessarily cost their respective clubs draft-pick compensation?

Here are the names of some pitchers who could reach free agency next winter if their options are not picked up:

While these pitcher WILL (at least currently scheduled) reach free agency after the 2014 season:

Homer BaileyJosh Beckett, Jorge De La Rosa, Ryan Dempster, Gavin Floyd, Kyle Kendrick, Jon Lester, Colby Lewis, Justin Masterson, Brandon McCarthy, Jake Peavy, Wandy Rodriguez, Max Scherzer, and James Shields.

HanRam

Los Angeles Dodgers SS: Hanley Ramirez

With San Francisco Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval, Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez, Cleveland Indians shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera, Colorado Rockies outfielder/first baseman Michael Cuddyer, and designated hitters like Detroit Tigers Victor Martinez, Boston Red Sox David Ortiz, and Chicago White Sox Adam Dunn, the hitting market is also relatively strong; although, not as enticing as the possible pitchers who could be available next winter.

There are still some useful names out there on the free agent market, but is it time to wonder whether it is the player names (Nelson Cruz), the draft-pick compensation (Kendrys Morales, Stephen Drew, Jimenez, Santana), or teams looking to the potential free agent market in 2015 that is causing the hot stove to have frozen? With teams reporting to Spring Training in about five weeks, there could be busy days ahead of us, or there could be a lot of agents being replaced by dissatisfied baseball players who were left behind.

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Indians Stuff, 12/20/12

IndiansI write about the Indians over at www.wahoosonfirst.com and Bleacher Report when I’m not writing things here. You should check these out, just in case you need something to read while the sky is falling due to a lazy Mayan:

Who is going to DH for the Indians with the current roster? http://wahoosonfirst.com/2012/12/20/who-will-be-tribes-dh-in-2013/

Thoughts on the Indians’ acquisition of Mark Reynolds and Trevor Bauer:

http://wahoosonfirst.com/2012/12/13/on-mark-reynolds-trevor-bauer-and-the-indians-new-direction/

Should the Reds and Indians do a Chris Perez for Devin Mesoraco Trade?

http://wahoosonfirst.com/2012/12/03/could-indians-reds-trade-chris-perez-for-devin-mesoraco/

Three pretend trades that the Indians should try to make:

http://wahoosonfirst.com/2012/11/19/three-trades-the-cleveland-indians-should-make/

2013 Indians Batting Order:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1448795-mlb-indians-projecting-the-2013-batting-order

How many wins is Terry Francona worth?

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1443626-mlb-how-many-wins-can-new-cleveland-indians-manager-terry-francona-produce

Seven starting pitchers that the Indians should target:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1430156-mlb-7-available-starting-pitchers-to-complete-the-ideal-2013-indians-rotation

Why the Indians can win now with Terry Francona:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1429424-mlb-why-the-indians-can-win-now-with-terry-francona

Indians Stuff, 8/28

Lots of stuff on Bleacher Report if you would like to check it out! Make me famous, people!!!!

5 ways the Indians can salvage the 2012 season:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1313883-5-things-that-can-salvage-the-cleveland-indians-2012-season

How does the Dodgers and Red Sox blockbuster trade hurt the Indians?

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1311891-mlb-how-does-the-blockbuster-deal-for-los-angeles-and-boston-hurt-cleveland

Who deserves the most blame for the Indians’ 2012 season?

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1307986-who-deserves-the-most-blame-for-cleveland-indians-disappointing-2012-so-far

Manny Acta calls out ownership

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1300955-mlb-cleveland-indians-manager-calls-out-ownership

How can the Indians stop the bleeding?

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1288012-mlb-cleveland-indians-how-can-you-stop-the-bleeding

The disaster-filled decision-making 2012 Indians season

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1284719-mlb-the-cleveland-indians-and-the-2012-disaster-filled-decision-making

Bleacher Report Links, 8/2

Some recent posts at Bleacher Report, mostly on the Indians:

A look ahead to the 2013 Cleveland Indians:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1280957-mlb-the-2013-cleveland-indians

Grading the Philadelphia Phillies’ Deadline Deals:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1280374-mlb-philadelphia-phillies-grading-the-phillies-trade-deadline-deals

5 Trades the Cleveland Indians should have made at the trade deadline:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1277089-five-best-case-trade-scenarios-for-the-cleveland-indians-at-the-deadline

10 Indians who were sweating out the trade deadline:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1264712-10-indians-who-will-have-to-sweat-out-the-2012-trade-deadline

Expect a big 2nd half for Carlos Santana:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1264750-mlb-cleveland-indians-the-return-of-carlos-santana

 

Indians Stuff, 7/2/2012

I’ve been busy with Indians material for Bleacher Report lately. Read the following, share with friends:

Indians Follow-Up to Attendance Issues: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1238459-mlb-follow-up-to-5-ways-indians-can-increase-attendance

What Move Should the Indians Make When Hafner Returns: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1241288-mlb-what-move-should-the-indians-make-with-the-return-of-travis-hafner

Right-Handed Bats the Indians Could Trade For: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1242551-mlb-right-handed-bats-that-should-interest-the-cleveland-indians

Lineup Changes that Manny Acta Could Consider: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1243439-what-lineup-changes-should-manny-acta-consider-to-boost-indians-offense

Indians Stuff

 

 

 

I have a couple of new articles over at Bleacher Report:

Follow-up to Indians Attendance with responses directly from the Indians: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1238459-mlb-follow-up-to-5-ways-indians-can-increase-attendance

 

Should the Indians Cut Johnny Damon?: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1235886-mlb-should-the-cleveland-indians-give-johnny-damon-the-axe

 

Indians Stuff

More Indians material from Bleacher Report:

The June rebounds of Justin Masterson and Ubaldo Jimenez HERE

Ways the Indians Can Increase Attendance HERE

When the Tribe Can Count on Francisco Lindor HERE

Francisco Lindor

Francisco Lindor piece from Bleacher Report:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1222661-cleveland-indians-when-can-the-tribe-count-on-francisco-lindor

Cleveland Indians Stuff

I’ve got three posts up this month at Bleacher Report:

Why does Ubaldo Jimenez stink?: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1206246-why-is-ubaldo-jimenez-so-bad

How Can the Indians Stay in the AL Central Race?: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1213233-nine-keys-to-the-indians-competing-in-the-al-central

How Can the Indians Stop the Slide?: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1204777-ways-the-indians-could-stop-the-slide

I’ll be posting some non-Indians things in the coming days.  Thanks for reading!

Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Shortstops

Overall rankings will consist of the player’s value in a points format, earning points for each H, R, 2B, 3B, HR, RBI, basically a formula of Total Bases + RBI + Runs = Total Value.  Here are the rankings for 2B, projections are italicized:

Shortstop is getting to be extremely shallow in fantasy.  It is filled with injury risks and aging veterans.  Gone are the days of several superstars, which has been gone since ARod moved to third and Nomar was traded to the Cubs.

1. Troy Tulowitzki, Rockies

.302/.372/.544, 36 2B, 2 3B, 30 HR, 105 RBI, 9 SB in 537 AB

.313/.394/.559, 38 2B, 3 3B, 34 HR, 112 RBI, 4 SB in 589 AB

There is one elite player at this position and Tulowitzki is it.  For all of the hype that has gone to Jose Reyes and his mega-Free Agency this offseason, he isn’t the difference maker that Tulo is.  He is a power-hitting SS and he will be the only SS with 100 RBI in 2012.  If you don’t get him, you’re going to settle for the rest.

2. Starlin Castro, Cubs

.307/.341/.432, 36 2B, 9 3B, 10 HR, 66 RBI, 22 SB in 674 AB

.298/.347/.461, 38 2B, 7 3B, 16 HR, 71 RBI, 18 SB in 647 AB

Castro only had 207 hits in his first full season.  He is probably not going to be a long-term hit machine, as he is going to fill into a player with more power, possibly even moving to third base.  He is more of a certainty than others who come after him, like…

3. Jose Reyes, Marlins

.337/.384/.493, 31 2B, 16 3B, 7 HR, 44 RBI, 39 SB in 537 AB

.301/.365/.449, 29 2B, 8 3B, 4 HR, 36 RBI, 21 SB in 467 AB

Reyes is an excellent player and a game-changing talent, but he isn’t on the field enough to be taken seriously.  While he’s been on the field more than someone like Rickie Weeks in his career, you have to wonder how his speed game is going to hold up as he ages, as it hasn’t held up in his youth.  The constant nagging injuries will take away from his value, as will the spacious ballpark that he is going to be playing in from his already non-Tulo power stats.  With that being said, he could prove me wrong and repeat what he did in 2011 for several years and be elite…but why would you count on that?

4. Asdrubal Cabrera, Indians

.273/.332/.460, 32 2B, 3 3B, 25 HR, 92 RBI, 17 SB in 604 AB

.281/.341/.459, 36 2B, 2 3B, 18 HR, 81 RBI, 13 SB in 587 AB

Well…that came out of nowhere.  You have to wonder if this power-hitting, team carrying type of player is here to stay.  He was injured for the previous couple of seasons.  Can he make adjustments, though?  He hit just .244/.310/.419 in the 2nd half of 2011.  He’s still well-above average with a decline, but it won’t be as drastic as some believe.

5. J.J. Hardy, Orioles

.269/.310/.491, 27 2B, 30 HR, 80 RBI in 527 AB

.259/.314/.486, 24 2B, 29 HR, 76 RBi in 564 AB

Remember the scoring.  He isn’t a top five SS in most leagues due to the average and lack of running ability; however, his power is very, very valuable at his position.  Hardy is playing in a bandbox still and he will continue to hit homeruns, post low averages, and strikeout with Mark Reynolds.

6.  Jhonny Peralta, Tigers

.299/.345/.478, 25 2B, 3 3B, 21 HR, 86 RBI in 525 AB

.287/.338/.479, 28 2B, 2 3B, 22 HR, 86 RBI in 563 AB

Peralta isn’t a SS…but the Tigers gave up on defense for the offensive power.  They may have the worst left side of the infield in the history of baseball in 2012, but fantasy baseball doesn’t count range factor and errors.  He’ll have plenty of opportunities to drive in runs and should build on his successful 2011 season.

7.  Jimmy Rollins, Phillies

.268/.338/.399, 22 2B, 2 3B, 16 HR, 63 RBI, 30 SB in 567 AB

.280/.340/.411, 26 2B, 4 3B, 13 HR, 68 RBI, 24 SB in 584 AB

J-Roll still has another good year in him, but he is of the same pedigree as Jose Reyes – speed + injuries = worthlessness.  Buyer beware, but the Phillies are counting on him to build off of 2011 as the age of their offensive core increases quicker than the National debt.

8.  Yunel Escobar, Blue Jays

.290/.369/.413, 24 2B, 3 3B, 11 HR, 48 RBI, 3 SB in 513 AB

.284/.376/.422, 27 2B, 4 3B, 14 HR, 56 RBI, 5 SB in 562 AB

Escobar is a real pain in the ass.  He got traded from Atlanta due to attitude issues and seems to not care at times.  If he bothered putting out maximum effort, he could rank as high as 3rd on this list.  He has quite a lineup around him, so if he puts it all together, don’t be shocked.

9.  Derek Jeter, Yankees

.297/.355/.388, 24 2B, 4 3B, 6 HR, 61 RBI, 16 sB in 546 AB

.307/.364/.408, 29 2B, 4 3B, 11 HR, 65 RBI, 13 SB in 573 AB

The Captain isn’t as bad as people think.  He still posted a decent AVG and OBP last season, though the SLG got ugly quick.  He isn’t getting any younger, but he still has the lineup around him and the ability to play every day.  He should rebound a bit.

10.  Elvis Andrus, Rangers

.279/.347/.361, 27 2B, 3 3B, 5 HR, 60 RBI, 37 SB in 587 AB

.287/.356/.394, 32 2B, 4 3B, 7 HR, 64 RBI, 42 SB in 593 AB

Andrus is still very young and is in a fantastic lineup and ballpark.  He has a solid eye and should improve upon his 75.5% SB rate.  The power is lacking, but he does enough small things to get you points.

11.  Erick Aybar, Angels

.279/.322/.421, 33 2B, 8 3B, 10 HR, 59 RBI, 30 SB in 556 AB

.268/.313/.406, 29 2B, 5 3B, 7 HR, 48 RBI, 24 SB in 498 AB

If Trumbo is going to play third and Mike Scoscia is still in charge, Maicer Izturis is going to steal Aybar’s playing time from time to time.  Slight drop-off due to that decrease.

12.  Alexei Ramirez, White Sox

.269/.328/.399, 31 2B, 2 3B, 15 HR, 70 RBI, 7 SB in 614 AB

.264/.325/.403, 30 2B, 1 3B, 18 HR, 67 RBI, 5 SB in 598 AB

13.  Stephen Drew, Diamondbacks

.252/.317/.396, 21 2B, 5 3B, 5 HR, 45 RBI, 4 SB in 321 AB

.269/.328/.403, 24 2B, 3 3B, 11 HR, 61 RBI, 3 SB in 461 AB

Those Drew boys never stay healthy.  If he comes back healthy, he could post solid numbers, but he may have issues staying in the lineup due to his last name.

14.  Zack Cozart, Reds

.324/.324/.486, 2 HR, 3 RBI in 37 AB

.259/.327/.403, 21 2B, 4 3B, 14 HR, 49 RBI, 6 SB in 498 AB

Sleeper like crazy here.  He isn’t going to post an incredible average, but Cozart has some pop and plays in a great offense and ballpark.  He could do even more than the numbers listed above…or…Dusty Baker’s veteran-loving-ass could play Paul Janish over him…ugh.

15.  Sean Rodriguez, Rays

.223/.323/.357, 20 2B, 3 3B, 8 HR, 36 RBI, 11 SB in 373 AB

.241/.336/.374, 26 2B, 5 3B, 12 HR, 51 RBI, 19 SB in 471 AB

The Rest: Ian Desmond, Nationals; Alex Gonzalez, Brewers; Alcides Escobar, Royals; Jed Lowrie, Astros; Dee Gordon, Dodgers; Jason Bartlett, Padres; Ryan Theriot, Giants; Rafael Furcal, Cardinals; Cliff Pennington, A’s; Mike Aviles, Red Sox;

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